ORIGINAL ANALYSIS · College · Saint Joseph's

St. Joe's Preseason First-Teamer Took 433 Shots Last Year and Had 33 Assists. The Guy Who Made a Third of the Assists Is Gone.

Jaiden Glover-Toscano is on the Atlantic 10's preseason first team after 535 points, 433 field goal attempts and 33 assists. Derek Simpson, who had 188 of the Hawks' 556 assists, is not on the 2026-27 roster.

By Ryan KeaneOct 30, 2026, 9:53 PM EDT

Season totals come from Saint Joseph's own statistics page and the game log from ESPN, which matches the school's totals for the player. "Shots" means field goal attempts. Per-game figures and shares are Negadelphia's arithmetic. We do not say why anyone left and we do not guess who will run the offense. Opinion is labeled.

Jaiden Glover-Toscano is the Atlantic 10's preseason first-team guard. Last season he made 181 of his 433 field goal attempts, scored 535 points, and finished with 33 assists. The player who made 188 of the team's 556 assists, Derek Simpson, is not on the 2026-27 roster. The numbers below show what each of them did and what the returning group did around them. They cannot show who runs the offense on Nov. 4, when Saint Joseph's opens against Longwood, and nothing we read names that player.

What Glover-Toscano did

He started all 34 games he played and averaged 15.7 points and 4.8 rebounds. He made 90 of 260 three-pointers (.346) and 83 of 114 free throws. His 433 shots were about 20 percent of the team's 2,163. His 33 assists work out to about 1.0 a game, and his 49 turnovers were 16 more than his assists. By our arithmetic that is 0.67 assists for every turnover.

One note on the school's Oct. 19 release. It says he averaged 15.7 points and 4.8 assists per game. The school's own stats page shows 4.8 rebounds and 33 assists, and this piece uses the stats page.

ESPN's game log for him adds up to the school's totals: 181 of 433, 33 assists, 49 turnovers, 535 points. It shows 13 games of 20 or more points, including 29 against Arcadia on Dec. 28 and 28 in the overtime win over Duquesne on Jan. 7. It also shows seven games under 10 points. The lowest was the Nov. 8 win over Drexel, when he missed all eight shots, six of them threes, and scored 0. He was 1 for 8 in the Jan. 3 loss to Davidson. In the season-ending NIT quarterfinal loss at New Mexico on March 24 he was 2 for 11, with every one of his eight three-point tries missing, for 7 points. In 16 of his 34 games he had more turnovers than assists, and in 11 he had no assists at all. His high for assists in a game was 4.

None of that makes him a poor player. A 6-foot-6 guard who plays beside a teammate averaging 5.2 assists can have a small assist total without it being a flaw. The number describes the role he had last year, and it sets up the question for this year.

What left, and what stayed

Simpson, a senior guard on the school's 2025-26 roster, played all 36 games and started every one, and he had 188 assists, or 5.2 a game, with 77 turnovers. That is 33.8 percent of the team's 556 assists. In the 18 conference games the share was higher: 114 of the team's 282, or 40.4 percent, at 6.3 a game. The school's own sheet lists his assist-to-turnover ratio at 2.44. The 2026-27 roster page does not list him.

The returning players who appeared last season had 164 of those 556 assists, 29.5 percent. Glover-Toscano had 33 of them. Khaafiq Myers, a 5-foot-10 junior guard from Philadelphia, had 78 in 34 games, 2.3 a game, with 37 turnovers, in 537 minutes and no starts. Austin Williford had 49. Mekai Johnson had 2, and Will Lange and Billy Rayer had 1 each.

The roster also lists Logan Carey, a guard who played at Maine last season, and BJ Ranson, a freshman guard. Sports-Reference shows Carey at Maine in 2025-26: 32 games, 27 starts, 78 assists, 56 turnovers, 2.4 assists a game. Maine plays in the America East, a different league than the Atlantic 10, so those numbers are a starting point and nothing more.

The negative angle

Opinion: last year's offense had one player who made a third of its assists, and he is gone. The returning guard with the best assist numbers played off the bench. The new guard whose numbers we could check put them up in another league. The first-team scorer had more turnovers than assists, and in conference play he had 18 assists against 31 turnovers while scoring 16.3 points a game on .428 shooting. None of that proves the offense will struggle. It means the question of who creates is open going into a season in which the Hawks were picked sixth of 14, after finishing third and going 24-12.

If Glover-Toscano takes on more of the creating, the turnover line is the first thing to watch, because it already ran ahead of his assists last year. If someone else does, that player has to cover a lot of what Simpson did, and no returning player averaged more than 2.3 assists last season.

How they could prove us wrong

The simplest way is for the assist numbers to hold. Last season Saint Joseph's averaged 15.4 assists a game. This benchmark is ours: if a guard, whether Myers, Carey, Ranson or someone else, gets to 4 or more a game, and the team stays near 15, then Simpson's share has been absorbed.

Glover-Toscano could answer it himself. If his assists rise above last year's 1.0 a game while his turnovers drop below his assists, the question about him is settled. The Hawks could also score just as well without a single primary passer. Last season they shot .428 as a team. If they match that with the assists spread across several players, the offense did not need one.

The fair test is conference play. Last year's conference numbers for Simpson and Glover-Toscano cover 18 games, and a handful of November games would be a small sample. The coaches can say directly who will run the offense, and we would print it.

Sources and dates

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